Ballpark Guide

Target Field

Park factors and prop betting implications for games at Target Field, home of the Minnesota Twins.

Target Field opened in 2010 and has hosted Minnesota Twins home games for 16 seasons. The open-air modern ballpark seats 38,544 fans on grass a grass playing surface in Minneapolis, MN. As an open-air park, weather is part of the matchup every game day. Wind direction, temperature, and humidity all materially shift HR probability and overall run-scoring environment, particularly during summer evening games.

Target Field plays as a mild pitcher's park. The combination of run factor 0.99 and HR factor 0.95 suppresses offensive production slightly below league average. Starting pitcher prop edges (K rates, ERA) tend to be more reliable here, while batter HR props are systematically overset by lines that don't fully adjust for venue. These numbers come from multi-year MLB run-and-HR park factors and represent how the venue affects offensive output relative to a perfectly neutral park (factor 1.00). The further a park factor moves from 1.00, the more it should influence prop-line evaluation.

For prop bettors, here's how Target Field translates into actionable edges. Home run props at Target Field should be evaluated mostly on pitcher matchup and batter form rather than park factor. The venue is neutral enough that other variables dominate. Because Target Field is an open-air venue, always check weather before placing bets. Wind direction matters more than temperature: a 10+ km/h wind blowing toward center field can boost HR probability by 15-25% above the park's baseline factor, while wind blowing in can suppress HR probability by similar amounts. ProprStats automatically applies live weather adjustments from Open-Meteo to every prop-scoring calculation for this venue.

Run Factor

0.99

Neutral

HR Factor

0.95

Slight Pitcher

Roof

Open

Wind matters

Capacity

38,544

Opened 2010

Prop Betting Implications at Target Field

Hits Props

A run factor of 0.99 means Target Field is roughly neutral for hits props — park factor alone adds little edge here.

Home Run Props

A HR factor of 0.95 means Target Field has a modest impact on home runs. Use other factors (ISO, hard-hit rate, pitcher HR/9) as your primary signals.

Weather Adjustment

Target Field is an open-air stadium. Wind blowing out (towards the outfield) at 10+ km/h adds significant HR probability. Wind blowing in suppresses HR and hits totals. ProprStats automatically applies weather adjustments from Open-Meteo for every game played here.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the run factor at Target Field?

Target Field has a run factor of 0.99, meaning it is a pitcher-friendly environment that suppresses run totals compared to the MLB average of 1.00.

What is the home run factor at Target Field?

Target Field has a home run factor of 0.95. A factor above 1.00 means more HRs are hit here than average, while below 1.00 means fewer. This directly impacts HR prop lines.

Is Target Field good for hits props?

With a run factor of 0.99, Target Field is roughly neutral for hits props, so park factor alone should not be the primary driver of your decision.

Does Target Field have a roof?

No, Target Field is an open-air stadium. Wind direction and temperature can significantly affect batting outcomes — especially for HR props. Always check weather before placing bets.

Park factors built into every matchup score

ProprStats automatically applies Target Field park factors and live weather data to every batter-pitcher matchup score.

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