The Prop Model
Built for Sharp Bettors.
Stop relying on gut feel. ProprStats gives you an EdgeScore on every MLB prop, a LineCheck on every book line, and a full MatchupFile on every batter — so you know exactly where the edge is before the market closes.
No credit card required · Free to start
“Stopped using five tabs the same day I found this.” — @baseballbettingpro
Aaron Judge
OF · NYY · Bats R
vs T. Skubal · LHP · 2.94 ERA
vs Left
vs Right
Research in Three Steps
From raw matchup data to a confident prop pick — in under a minute.
Browse the Board
Open the dashboard to see every batter with a probable pitcher today, scored and sorted by the model.
Deep Dive Any Player
Click a card to see their full breakdown — L5/L10 chart, Statcast quality, handedness splits, and career H2H.
Make Confident Picks
The 0–100 ProprStats score and EV% signal tells you exactly where the line is mispriced — and how much edge you have.
Every Edge. Already Done For You.
Stop opening six tabs before every bet. ProprStats does the research — Statcast, matchups, trends, weather, and the book line — and hands you one number: your edge.
EdgeScore™ — one number, the full picture
Every player gets an EdgeScore from 0–100 based on contact quality, matchup difficulty, recent form, park context, and today's pitcher. The higher the score, the stronger the evidence. 80+ means the data is stacked in your favor.
TrueContact™ — luck stripped out
Box score averages lie. A .220 hitter can be crushing the ball and due for a streak. A .340 hitter can be getting lucky on weak contact. TrueContact uses xwOBA, Barrel%, and Hard-hit% to show you what's really happening — before the market catches up.
FormTrack™ — hot streaks surface instantly
L5 and L10 game logs visualized as color-coded bars. Cold snaps and hot streaks feed directly into the EdgeScore in real time. The model weights the last 5 games at 60% — because who a player was in April matters less than who they are right now.
PlatoonIQ™ — right splits, every game
The platoon split that matters — vs LHP or vs RHP — is automatically matched to today's probable starter. You never have to manually look up whether a lefty is pitching. It's resolved for you, every game, every day.
MatchupFile™ — know who owns who
Full career at-bat history between this batter and today's pitcher — AVG, OBP, SLG, HR, K%, and wOBA in one card. If a batter has owned a pitcher for 40 career AB, you'll know before the first pitch. Small samples are flagged automatically.
6-Prop Coverage — every market scored
Hits, Home Runs, Runs, RBI, Strikeouts, and Stolen Bases — each with its own model weighting, line-specific EdgeScore, and LineCheck result. Switch props in one click. The score updates instantly.
LineCheck™ — is the line mispriced?
Enter any book line and LineCheck tells you in seconds: what's the true probability of the Over hitting, what's the book pricing it at, and what's your edge. Positive LineCheck = bet. Negative LineCheck = pass or fade. Simple.
Everything you do manually — done in seconds.
Before ProprStats, this is what a serious prop researcher's pre-game routine looked like.
| Task | Doing it manually | Generic prop tool | ProprStats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Check player's last 10 games | ✗Open Baseball Ref, build manually | –Basic L10 stats | ✓FormTrack — visual, scored, instant |
| Assess true contact quality | ✗Pull Baseball Savant, calculate xwOBA | –Rarely available | ✓TrueContact — xwOBA, Barrel%, Hard-hit% |
| Find today's platoon split | ✗Check probable, manually filter | –Sometimes shown | ✓PlatoonIQ — auto-matched every game |
| Career H2H vs pitcher | ✗Search Baseball Ref, build table | –Not available | ✓MatchupFile — full career stats, one card |
| Check if line is mispriced | ✗Calculate Poisson by hand | –Not available | ✓LineCheck — instant EV% with ProbMap |
| Account for park & weather | ✗Check separately, apply manually | –Rarely | ✓Built into EdgeScore automatically |
| Get one actionable number | ✗Synthesize manually, 20+ mins | –Generic score | ✓EdgeScore — one number, ready to act on |
Check player's last 10 games
Assess true contact quality
Find today's platoon split
Career H2H vs pitcher
Check if line is mispriced
Account for park & weather
Get one actionable number
See Exactly Why a Line Is Mispriced
— Not Just That It Is
LineCheck doesn't just give you an EV%. It shows you the full ProbMap — the probability of every possible outcome tonight — so you can see exactly where your edge comes from. Then it strips the book's vig and hands you the gap. That gap is your edge.
ProbMap™
Every prop gets a ProbMap — a full visual breakdown of the probability of 0, 1, 2, 3+ outcomes tonight. You see P(Over) and P(Under) for any line — not just the mean.
LineCheck™ result
We strip the book's profit margin and compare their true implied probability to ours. The gap — positive or negative — is your LineCheck result. Positive means the line is mispriced in your favor.
Realistic range tonight
Every projection shows a floor and ceiling — the range that covers 80% of likely outcomes. Tight range = high confidence. Wide range = more variance, size accordingly.
All 6 props. Same rigor.
LineCheck runs the same methodology on every prop — Hits, HR, Runs, RBI, Strikeouts, SB. Consistent edge-finding across the full slate, not just the obvious plays.
LineCheck™
Strikeouts · Line 6.5
What researchers are saying
From the community
“EdgeScore 80+ has been hitting at over 65% for me this month. The LineCheck is the only thing I use now before placing a K prop.”
@propgrinderPro subscriber
“The ProbMap showed me the Over 6.5 K line had a 62% probability when the book was pricing it at 54%. I stopped second-guessing after that.”
@sharpbettingpodPro subscriber
“TrueContact caught three batters whose box score averages were hiding elite contact quality. Two of those hit props I wouldn't have touched otherwise.”
@baseballbettingproPro subscriber
Simple, Transparent Pricing
No hidden fees. Cancel anytime. Start free forever.
See today's top EdgeScore in every category. No card, no commitment — just the model.
- Top EdgeScore pick per prop — daily preview
- One full MatchupFile + LineCheck per day
- EdgeScore ring with full factor breakdown
- No card required. Upgrade when you're ready.
Full access to every model, every player, every game day.
- Full dashboard — all players ranked by EdgeScore
- Unlimited LineCheck — every prop, every game
- TrueContact™ — xwOBA, Barrel%, Hard-hit% on every player
- ProbMap™ on every prop — see the full distribution
- Live PrizePicks lines — auto-filled into LineCheck
- Park factors + weather — built into every EdgeScore
- MatchupFile™ + PlatoonIQ™ on every player card
- Cancel anytime
Best value — save $37 vs monthly. Two months free.
Everything in Pro, plus:
- Two months free vs monthly billing
- Early access to new prop models
- Priority support
At $18.99/month — if LineCheck finds you one mispriced line per week that hits, it pays for itself many times over.
Your Edge Is
One Click Away
Join prop researchers who use ProprStats every game day to find mispriced lines before they close. The dashboard is live now — no account required to start.