Ballpark Guide
Fenway Park
Park factors and prop betting implications for games at Fenway Park, home of the Boston Red Sox.
Fenway Park opened in 1912 and has hosted Boston Red Sox home games for 114 seasons. The open-air classic ballpark seats 37,755 fans on grass a grass playing surface in Boston, MA. As an open-air park, weather is part of the matchup every game day. Wind direction, temperature, and humidity all materially shift HR probability and overall run-scoring environment, particularly during summer evening games.
Fenway Park plays as a mild hitter's park. With park factors of 1.04 (runs) and 1.01 (HRs), the venue offers a modest but consistent offensive boost. The edge isn't large enough to override pitcher matchup or weather signals on its own, but it's consistently in the bettor's favor for hitter-friendly prop lines. These numbers come from multi-year MLB run-and-HR park factors and represent how the venue affects offensive output relative to a perfectly neutral park (factor 1.00). The further a park factor moves from 1.00, the more it should influence prop-line evaluation.
For prop bettors, here's how Fenway Park translates into actionable edges. Home run props at Fenway Park should be evaluated mostly on pitcher matchup and batter form rather than park factor. The venue is neutral enough that other variables dominate. Because Fenway Park is an open-air venue, always check weather before placing bets. Wind direction matters more than temperature: a 10+ km/h wind blowing toward center field can boost HR probability by 15-25% above the park's baseline factor, while wind blowing in can suppress HR probability by similar amounts. ProprStats automatically applies live weather adjustments from Open-Meteo to every prop-scoring calculation for this venue.
Run Factor
1.04
Slight Hitter
HR Factor
1.01
Neutral
Roof
Open
Wind matters
Capacity
37,755
Opened 1912
Prop Betting Implications at Fenway Park
Hits Props
A run factor of 1.04 means Fenway Park inflates offensive production. High-contact hitters see a bump to their expected hits total in home games here.
Home Run Props
A HR factor of 1.01 means Fenway Park has a modest impact on home runs. Use other factors (ISO, hard-hit rate, pitcher HR/9) as your primary signals.
Weather Adjustment
Fenway Park is an open-air stadium. Wind blowing out (towards the outfield) at 10+ km/h adds significant HR probability. Wind blowing in suppresses HR and hits totals. ProprStats automatically applies weather adjustments from Open-Meteo for every game played here.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the run factor at Fenway Park?
Fenway Park has a run factor of 1.04, meaning it is a hitter-friendly environment that inflates run totals compared to the MLB average of 1.00.
What is the home run factor at Fenway Park?
Fenway Park has a home run factor of 1.01. A factor above 1.00 means more HRs are hit here than average, while below 1.00 means fewer. This directly impacts HR prop lines.
Is Fenway Park good for hits props?
With a run factor of 1.04, Fenway Park is above-average for hits props — look for value on the over for high-contact hitters.
Does Fenway Park have a roof?
No, Fenway Park is an open-air stadium. Wind direction and temperature can significantly affect batting outcomes — especially for HR props. Always check weather before placing bets.
Other High-HR Ballparks
Related Guides
Park factors built into every matchup score
ProprStats automatically applies Fenway Park park factors and live weather data to every batter-pitcher matchup score.
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