Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown Odds — Week 4

RB · MIN vs MIA · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

32%model probability Aaron Jones scores a touchdown vs MIA
0.3Goal-line touches/g
31%Red-zone role
4/15Games scored
-145Best price

Model read: Model puts Aaron Jones at 32% to score a touchdown in this game. Research signal — not a bet.

What the model is reading

12.1%Share of team throws
2.9Targets / game
62%Routes run
-0.8Avg depth of target
14Yards / game
62%Snap share

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Research tool. Anytime-TD probabilities are model estimates shown for research only — no edge claim, no recommendation, no expected value. Sorted by model probability, not by disagreement with any book.