Yordan Alvarez Total Bases Prop

HOU vs CWS · line 1.5 · Sep 29

4 of 10cleared 1.5 total bases in his last 10 games played
1.5Line
2.3Model projection
77Model score
-105BetMGM
40%Over rate L10

Model read: Expected power over baseline (xSLG).

Yordan Alvarez vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

DateTotal BasesResult
Sep 300UNDER
Sep 291UNDER
Sep 271UNDER
Sep 266OVER
Sep 251UNDER
Sep 241UNDER
Sep 233OVER
Sep 225OVER
Sep 202OVER
Sep 191UNDER

Graded against the current 1.5 line rather than the number posted on each night, so it answers “how often would this line have cleared” — the question being asked today.

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