Manny Machado Home Run Prop

SDP vs MIL · line 0.5 · Oct 6

3 of 10cleared 0.5 home runs in his last 10 games played
0.5Line
0.4Model projection
73Model score
+475Caesars
30%Over rate L10

Model read: Strong career numbers vs this pitcher.

Manny Machado vs the 0.5 line — last 10 games

DateHome RunResult
Oct 40UNDER
Oct 30UNDER
Sep 300UNDER
Sep 291OVER
Sep 270UNDER
Sep 261OVER
Sep 250UNDER
Sep 240UNDER
Sep 231OVER
Sep 220UNDER

Graded against the current 0.5 line rather than the number posted on each night, so it answers “how often would this line have cleared” — the question being asked today.

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