Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Bases Prop

SDP vs CHC · line 1.5 · Sep 30

6 of 10cleared 1.5 total bases in his last 10 games played
1.5Line
2.4Model projection
79Model score
-106Caesars
60%Over rate L10

Model read: Expected power over baseline (xSLG).

Fernando Tatis Jr. vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

DateTotal BasesResult
Sep 300UNDER
Sep 295OVER
Sep 260UNDER
Sep 253OVER
Sep 242OVER
Sep 234OVER
Sep 221UNDER
Sep 204OVER
Sep 194OVER
Sep 181UNDER

Graded against the current 1.5 line rather than the number posted on each night, so it answers “how often would this line have cleared” — the question being asked today.

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