How often has Zay Flowers gone over 5.5 receptions?

Zay Flowers has cleared 5.5 receptions in 2 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Zay Flowers's receptions line in Week 4?

Zay Flowers's Week 4 receptions line is 5.5 against TEN. The ProprStats model projects 4 (median).

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · BAL vs TEN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

2 of 10cleared 5.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

5.5Week 4 line

4Model median

36%Model over

57ProprScore

Model read: Zay Flowers projects 4 catches (median), 1.5 under the 5.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Zay Flowers vs the 5.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	DAL	5	6	UNDER
Wk 1	IND	5	6	UNDER
25 wk18	PIT	4	6	UNDER
25 wk17	GB	4	5	UNDER
25 wk16	NE	7	7	OVER
25 wk15	CIN	3	5	UNDER
25 wk14	PIT	8	11	OVER
25 wk13	CIN	2	7	UNDER
25 wk12	NYJ	5	6	UNDER
25 wk11	CLE	3	5	UNDER

Graded against this week's 5.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

28.1%Share of team throws

6.5Targets / game

59%Routes run

11.2Avg depth of target

94.1Yards / game

59%Snap share

Zay Flowers's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 67.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Zay Flowers overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.