Xavier Worthy Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · KC vs LV · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

3 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
3.5Week 4 line
3Model median
49%Model over
61ProprScore

Model read: Xavier Worthy projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Xavier Worthy vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3MIA22UNDER
Wk 2IND57OVER
Wk 1DEN36UNDER
25 wk17DEN03UNDER
25 wk16TEN23UNDER
25 wk15LAC24UNDER
25 wk14HOU34UNDER
25 wk13DAL46OVER
25 wk12IND48OVER
25 wk11DEN35UNDER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

16.3%Share of team throws
5.1Targets / game
76%Routes run
9.6Avg depth of target
29.5Yards / game
76%Snap share

Xavier Worthy's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.