Xavier Hutchinson Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · HOU vs DAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
3Model median
57%Model over
51ProprScore

Model read: Xavier Hutchinson projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 over the 2.5 line — the model leans over. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Xavier Hutchinson vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3IND36OVER
Wk 2CIN39OVER
Wk 1BUF36OVER
25 wk18IND59OVER
25 wk17LAC23UNDER
25 wk16LV12UNDER
25 wk15ARI12UNDER
25 wk14KC02UNDER
25 wk13IND25UNDER
25 wk12BUF00UNDER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

15.0%Share of team throws
5.3Targets / game
61%Routes run
12Avg depth of target
33.4Yards / game
61%Snap share

Xavier Hutchinson's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.