Tyquan Thornton Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · KC vs LV · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

4 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
1Model median
48%Model over
39ProprScore

Model read: Tyquan Thornton projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Tyquan Thornton vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3MIA22OVER
Wk 2IND44OVER
Wk 1DEN01UNDER
25 wk15LAC23OVER
25 wk14HOU23OVER
25 wk13DAL00UNDER
25 wk12IND01UNDER
25 wk11DEN12UNDER
25 wk9BUF01UNDER
25 wk7LV12UNDER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

8.3%Share of team throws
2.7Targets / game
48%Routes run
23.5Avg depth of target
36.2Yards / game
48%Snap share

Tyquan Thornton's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.