Tyler Allgeier Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · ARI vs NYG · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 4

5 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
2Model median
52%Model over
68ProprScore

Model read: Tyler Allgeier projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 over the 1.5 line — the model leans over. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Tyler Allgeier vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3SF44OVER
Wk 2SEA22OVER
Wk 1LAC22OVER
25 wk18NO12UNDER
25 wk17LA00UNDER
25 wk16ARI11UNDER
25 wk15TB00UNDER
25 wk14SEA22OVER
25 wk13NYJ22OVER
25 wk12NO11UNDER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

5.0%Share of team throws
1.8Targets / game
42%Routes run
-2.7Avg depth of target
7.5Yards / game
42%Snap share

Tyler Allgeier's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.