Ty Johnson Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · BUF vs NE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

9 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
2Model median
61%Model over
56ProprScore

Model read: Ty Johnson projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 over the 1.5 line — the model leans over. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Ty Johnson vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3LAC44OVER
25 wk18NYJ22OVER
25 wk17PHI34OVER
25 wk16CLE00UNDER
25 wk15NE33OVER
25 wk14CIN23OVER
25 wk13PIT35OVER
25 wk12HOU33OVER
25 wk11TB22OVER
25 wk10MIA22OVER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

11.4%Share of team throws
3Targets / game
26%Routes run
-0.6Avg depth of target
32.7Yards / game
26%Snap share

Ty Johnson's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.