How often has Ty Johnson gone over 12.5 receiving yards?

Ty Johnson has cleared 12.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Ty Johnson's receiving yards line in Week 4?

Ty Johnson's Week 4 receiving yards line is 12.5 against NE. The ProprStats model projects 16.5 (median).

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

RB · BUF vs NE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

9 of 10cleared 12.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

12.5Week 4 line

16.5Model median

60%Model over

61ProprScore

Model read: Ty Johnson projects 16 rec yds (median), 4.0 over the 12.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+2.2 yds) and pulled down by average target depth and yards after the catch (-9.5 yds). Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Ty Johnson vs the 12.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	LAC	50	4	OVER
25 wk18	NYJ	20	2	OVER
25 wk17	PHI	33	4	OVER
25 wk16	CLE	0	0	UNDER
25 wk15	NE	15	3	OVER
25 wk14	CIN	14	3	OVER
25 wk13	PIT	20	5	OVER
25 wk12	HOU	45	3	OVER
25 wk11	TB	61	2	OVER
25 wk10	MIA	24	2	OVER

Graded against this week's 12.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

11.4%Share of team throws

3Targets / game

26%Routes run

-0.6Avg depth of target

32.7Yards / game

26%Snap share

Ty Johnson's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 1.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Ty Johnson overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.