How often has Travis Kelce gone over 4.5 receptions?

Travis Kelce has cleared 4.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Travis Kelce's receptions line in Week 4?

Travis Kelce's Week 4 receptions line is 4.5 against LV. The ProprStats model projects 4 (median).

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · KC vs LV · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

4.5Week 4 line

4Model median

49%Model over

51ProprScore

Model read: Travis Kelce projects 4 catches (median), 0.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Travis Kelce vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	MIA	2	2	UNDER
Wk 2	IND	9	11	OVER
Wk 1	DEN	3	5	UNDER
25 wk18	LV	3	6	UNDER
25 wk17	DEN	5	6	OVER
25 wk16	TEN	1	4	UNDER
25 wk15	LAC	7	9	OVER
25 wk14	HOU	1	5	UNDER
25 wk13	DAL	5	6	OVER
25 wk12	IND	4	6	UNDER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

19.7%Share of team throws

6.2Targets / game

80%Routes run

6.7Avg depth of target

63.5Yards / game

80%Snap share

Travis Kelce's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 47.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Travis Kelce overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.