How often has Tetairoa McMillan gone over 4.5 receptions?

Tetairoa McMillan has cleared 4.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Tetairoa McMillan's receptions line in Week 4?

Tetairoa McMillan's Week 4 receptions line is 4.5 against DET. The ProprStats model projects 4 (median).

Tetairoa McMillan Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · CAR vs DET · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

4.5Week 4 line

4Model median

36%Model over

75ProprScore

Model read: Tetairoa McMillan projects 4 catches (median), 0.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Tetairoa McMillan vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	CLE	2	5	UNDER
Wk 2	ATL	5	10	OVER
Wk 1	CHI	5	8	OVER
25 wk18	TB	4	6	UNDER
25 wk17	SEA	1	4	UNDER
25 wk16	TB	6	10	OVER
25 wk15	NO	2	4	UNDER
25 wk13	LA	1	2	UNDER
25 wk12	SF	2	7	UNDER
25 wk11	ATL	8	12	OVER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

23.4%Share of team throws

7.4Targets / game

86%Routes run

12.2Avg depth of target

62Yards / game

86%Snap share

Tetairoa McMillan's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 70.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Tetairoa McMillan overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.