Model read: Tetairoa McMillan projects 44 rec yds (median), 26.2 under the 70.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+5.4 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-10.8 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | CLE | 17 | 5 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | ATL | 101 | 10 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | CHI | 75 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | TB | 85 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | SEA | 5 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | TB | 73 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | NO | 25 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | LA | 43 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | SF | 35 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | ATL | 130 | 12 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 70.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.