How often has Stefon Diggs gone over 4.5 receptions?

Stefon Diggs has cleared 4.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Stefon Diggs's receptions line in Week 4?

Stefon Diggs's Week 4 receptions line is 4.5 against IND. The ProprStats model projects 3 (median).

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · WAS vs IND · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

4.5Week 4 line

3Model median

34%Model over

62ProprScore

Model read: Stefon Diggs projects 3 catches (median), 1.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Stefon Diggs vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	SEA	4	7	UNDER
Wk 2	DAL	5	6	OVER
Wk 1	PHI	4	9	UNDER
25 wk18	MIA	3	3	UNDER
25 wk17	NYJ	6	6	OVER
25 wk16	BAL	9	10	OVER
25 wk15	BUF	3	4	UNDER
25 wk13	NYG	3	4	UNDER
25 wk12	CIN	2	3	UNDER
25 wk11	NYJ	9	11	OVER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

26.2%Share of team throws

6.7Targets / game

56%Routes run

8.5Avg depth of target

52.3Yards / game

56%Snap share

Stefon Diggs's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 43.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Stefon Diggs overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.