Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · PHI vs LA · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

1 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
2Model median
43%Model over
43ProprScore

Model read: Saquon Barkley projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Saquon Barkley vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3CHI12UNDER
Wk 2TEN12UNDER
Wk 1WAS12UNDER
25 wk17BUF00UNDER
25 wk16WAS02UNDER
25 wk15LV23UNDER
25 wk14LAC02UNDER
25 wk13CHI02UNDER
25 wk12DAL78OVER
25 wk11DET12UNDER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.5%Share of team throws
2.6Targets / game
61%Routes run
0.1Avg depth of target
9.5Yards / game
61%Snap share

Saquon Barkley's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.