Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

RB · PHI vs LA · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

1 of 10cleared 14.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
14.5Week 4 line
15.4Model median
52%Model over
46ProprScore

Model read: Saquon Barkley projects 15 rec yds (median), 0.9 over the 14.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+3.1 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Saquon Barkley vs the 14.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3CHI-22UNDER
Wk 2TEN112UNDER
Wk 1WAS-32UNDER
25 wk17BUF00UNDER
25 wk16WAS02UNDER
25 wk15LV143UNDER
25 wk14LAC02UNDER
25 wk13CHI02UNDER
25 wk12DAL528OVER
25 wk11DET72UNDER

Graded against this week's 14.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.5%Share of team throws
2.6Targets / game
61%Routes run
0.1Avg depth of target
9.5Yards / game
61%Snap share

Saquon Barkley's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.