Roman Wilson Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · PIT vs CLE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
2Model median
32%Model over
62ProprScore

Model read: Roman Wilson projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Roman Wilson vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3CIN36OVER
Wk 2NE56OVER
Wk 1ATL36OVER
25 wk13BUF01UNDER
25 wk12CHI03UNDER
25 wk11CIN12UNDER
25 wk10LAC23UNDER
25 wk9IND12UNDER
25 wk8GB45OVER
25 wk7CIN22UNDER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

12.5%Share of team throws
4.2Targets / game
45%Routes run
13.5Avg depth of target
28.2Yards / game
45%Snap share

Roman Wilson's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.