Rashod Bateman Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · BAL vs TEN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

1 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
2Model median
42%Model over
64ProprScore

Model read: Rashod Bateman projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Rashod Bateman vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3DAL23UNDER
Wk 2NO79OVER
Wk 1IND01UNDER
25 wk17GB11UNDER
25 wk16NE02UNDER
25 wk14PIT23UNDER
25 wk13CIN01UNDER
25 wk10MIN12UNDER
25 wk9MIA24UNDER
25 wk8CHI24UNDER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

14.6%Share of team throws
3.6Targets / game
78%Routes run
12.9Avg depth of target
29.4Yards / game
78%Snap share

Rashod Bateman's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.