Model read: Rashod Bateman projects 31 rec yds (median), 1.9 under the 32.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+5.0 yds) and pulled down by projected game total and pass rate (-4.2 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | DAL | 37 | 3 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | NO | 88 | 9 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | IND | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | GB | 7 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | NE | 0 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | PIT | 23 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | CIN | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | MIN | 10 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk9 | MIA | 13 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk8 | CHI | 51 | 4 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 32.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.