Rashee Rice Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · KC vs LV · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
4.5Week 4 line
5Model median
62%Model over
60ProprScore

Model read: Rashee Rice projects 5 catches (median), 0.5 over the 4.5 line — the model leans over. Research signal — not a bet.

Rashee Rice vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3MIA79OVER
Wk 2IND46UNDER
Wk 1DEN22UNDER
25 wk15LAC711OVER
25 wk14HOU48UNDER
25 wk13DAL812OVER
25 wk12IND812OVER
25 wk11DEN69OVER
25 wk9BUF47UNDER
25 wk8WAS99OVER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

23.7%Share of team throws
7.7Targets / game
77%Routes run
5.9Avg depth of target
67.4Yards / game
77%Snap share

Rashee Rice's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.