Rashee Rice Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · KC vs LV · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 54.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
54.5Week 4 line
67.2Model median
62%Model over
65ProprScore

Model read: Rashee Rice projects 67 rec yds (median), 12.7 over the 54.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+9.1 yds) and pulled down by average target depth and yards after the catch (-5.9 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Rashee Rice vs the 54.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3MIA889OVER
Wk 2IND836OVER
Wk 1DEN192UNDER
25 wk15LAC5111UNDER
25 wk14HOU348UNDER
25 wk13DAL9212OVER
25 wk12IND14112OVER
25 wk11DEN389UNDER
25 wk9BUF807OVER
25 wk8WAS939OVER

Graded against this week's 54.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

23.7%Share of team throws
7.7Targets / game
77%Routes run
5.9Avg depth of target
67.4Yards / game
77%Snap share

Rashee Rice's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.