Model read: Rashee Rice projects 67 rec yds (median), 12.7 over the 54.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+9.1 yds) and pulled down by average target depth and yards after the catch (-5.9 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | MIA | 88 | 9 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | IND | 83 | 6 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | DEN | 19 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | LAC | 51 | 11 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | HOU | 34 | 8 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | DAL | 92 | 12 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | IND | 141 | 12 | OVER |
| 25 wk11 | DEN | 38 | 9 | UNDER |
| 25 wk9 | BUF | 80 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk8 | WAS | 93 | 9 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 54.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.