Puka Nacua Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · LA vs PHI · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 6.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
6.5Week 4 line
5Model median
30%Model over
71ProprScore

Model read: Puka Nacua projects 5 catches (median), 1.5 under the 6.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Puka Nacua vs the 6.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 1SF59UNDER
25 wk18ARI1011OVER
25 wk17ATL510UNDER
25 wk16SEA1216OVER
25 wk15DET911OVER
25 wk14ARI711OVER
25 wk13CAR69UNDER
25 wk12TB711OVER
25 wk11SEA78OVER
25 wk10SF56UNDER

Graded against this week's 6.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

31.8%Share of team throws
9.7Targets / game
69%Routes run
11.1Avg depth of target
90.6Yards / game
69%Snap share

Puka Nacua's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.