Puka Nacua Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · LA vs PHI · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 77.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
77.5Week 4 line
67.1Model median
42%Model over
61ProprScore

Model read: Puka Nacua projects 67 rec yds (median), 10.4 under the 77.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+10.2 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-16.6 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Puka Nacua vs the 77.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 1SF749UNDER
25 wk18ARI7611UNDER
25 wk17ATL4710UNDER
25 wk16SEA22516OVER
25 wk15DET18111OVER
25 wk14ARI16711OVER
25 wk13CAR729UNDER
25 wk12TB9711OVER
25 wk11SEA758UNDER
25 wk10SF646UNDER

Graded against this week's 77.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

31.8%Share of team throws
9.7Targets / game
69%Routes run
11.1Avg depth of target
90.6Yards / game
69%Snap share

Puka Nacua's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.