Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · IND vs WAS · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 4

7 of 10cleared 0.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
0.5Week 4 line
0Model median
42%Model over
64ProprScore

Model read: Mo Alie-Cox projects 0 catches (median), 0.5 under the 0.5 line — the model leans under. ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: an unresolved injury status. Research signal — not a bet.

Mo Alie-Cox vs the 0.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3HOU11OVER
25 wk18HOU34OVER
25 wk17JAX33OVER
25 wk16SF22OVER
25 wk14JAX02UNDER
25 wk12KC11OVER
25 wk10ATL01UNDER
25 wk9PIT01UNDER
25 wk7LAC12OVER
25 wk6ARI12OVER

Graded against this week's 0.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

4.2%Share of team throws
1.4Targets / game
37%Routes run
2.3Avg depth of target
13.3Yards / game
37%Snap share

Mo Alie-Cox's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.