Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · IND vs WAS · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 4

7 of 10cleared 0.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
0.5Week 4 line
0Model median
42%Model over
64ProprScore

Model read: Mo Alie-Cox projects 0 rec yds (median), 0.5 under the 0.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+2.2 yds) and pulled down by his target share vs. last season (-5.5 yds). ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: an unresolved injury status. Research signal — not a bet.

Mo Alie-Cox vs the 0.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3HOU161OVER
25 wk18HOU224OVER
25 wk17JAX203OVER
25 wk16SF162OVER
25 wk14JAX02UNDER
25 wk12KC91OVER
25 wk10ATL01UNDER
25 wk9PIT01UNDER
25 wk7LAC62OVER
25 wk6ARI162OVER

Graded against this week's 0.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

4.2%Share of team throws
1.4Targets / game
37%Routes run
2.3Avg depth of target
13.3Yards / game
37%Snap share

Mo Alie-Cox's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.