How often has Mike Gesicki gone over 2.5 receptions?

Mike Gesicki has cleared 2.5 receptions in 5 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Mike Gesicki's receptions line in Week 4?

Mike Gesicki's Week 4 receptions line is 2.5 against JAX. The ProprStats model projects 3 (median).

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · CIN vs JAX · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

2.5Week 4 line

3Model median

64%Model over

66ProprScore

Model read: Mike Gesicki projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 over the 2.5 line — the model leans over. Research signal — not a bet.

Mike Gesicki vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	PIT	3	3	OVER
Wk 1	TB	5	7	OVER
25 wk18	CLE	2	2	UNDER
25 wk17	ARI	2	2	UNDER
25 wk16	MIA	3	4	OVER
25 wk15	BAL	1	2	UNDER
25 wk14	BUF	6	6	OVER
25 wk13	BAL	2	4	UNDER
25 wk12	NE	4	6	OVER
25 wk5	DET	2	5	UNDER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

12.2%Share of team throws

4.2Targets / game

39%Routes run

9.7Avg depth of target

41.5Yards / game

39%Snap share

Mike Gesicki's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 28.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Mike Gesicki overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.