How often has Mike Gesicki gone over 28.5 receiving yards?

Mike Gesicki has cleared 28.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Mike Gesicki's receiving yards line in Week 4?

Mike Gesicki's Week 4 receiving yards line is 28.5 against JAX. The ProprStats model projects 34 (median).

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · CIN vs JAX · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 28.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

28.5Week 4 line

34Model median

58%Model over

59ProprScore

Model read: Mike Gesicki projects 34 rec yds (median), 5.5 over the 28.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+2.4 yds) and pulled down by projected game total and pass rate (-9.5 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Mike Gesicki vs the 28.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	PIT	37	3	OVER
Wk 1	TB	78	7	OVER
25 wk18	CLE	13	2	UNDER
25 wk17	ARI	47	2	OVER
25 wk16	MIA	35	4	OVER
25 wk15	BAL	11	2	UNDER
25 wk14	BUF	86	6	OVER
25 wk13	BAL	19	4	UNDER
25 wk12	NE	35	6	OVER
25 wk5	DET	15	5	UNDER

Graded against this week's 28.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

12.2%Share of team throws

4.2Targets / game

39%Routes run

9.7Avg depth of target

41.5Yards / game

39%Snap share

Mike Gesicki's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 2.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Mike Gesicki overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.