Model read: Mike Evans projects 2 catches (median), 1.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Rec | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | ARI | 3 | 6 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | MIA | 3 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | LA | 6 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | CAR | 2 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | MIA | 3 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | CAR | 5 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | ATL | 6 | 12 | OVER |
| 25 wk7 | DET | 0 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk3 | NYJ | 4 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk2 | HOU | 5 | 11 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.