MarShawn Lloyd Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · GB vs TB · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

2 of 3cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 3
1.5Week 4 line
1Model median
36%Model over
44ProprScore

Model read: MarShawn Lloyd projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

MarShawn Lloyd vs the 1.5 line — last 3 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3ATL23OVER
Wk 2NYJ22OVER
Wk 1MIN01UNDER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

2.2%Share of team throws
0.6Targets / game
2%Routes run
-5Avg depth of target
1.8Yards / game
0%Snap share

MarShawn Lloyd's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.