Mark Andrews Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · BAL vs TEN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
3.5Week 4 line
3Model median
43%Model over
71ProprScore

Model read: Mark Andrews projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Mark Andrews vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3DAL35UNDER
Wk 2NO67OVER
Wk 1IND46OVER
25 wk18PIT23UNDER
25 wk17GB44OVER
25 wk16NE23UNDER
25 wk15CIN23UNDER
25 wk14PIT15UNDER
25 wk13CIN46OVER
25 wk12NYJ13UNDER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

20.9%Share of team throws
5.1Targets / game
63%Routes run
7.3Avg depth of target
32.7Yards / game
63%Snap share

Mark Andrews's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.