Model read: Mark Andrews projects 30 rec yds (median), 7.8 under the 37.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+4.8 yds) and pulled down by projected game total and pass rate (-8.9 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | DAL | 24 | 5 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | NO | 49 | 7 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | IND | 49 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | PIT | 14 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | GB | 28 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | NE | 21 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | CIN | 18 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | PIT | 9 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | CIN | 47 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | NYJ | 9 | 3 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 37.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.