How often has Mack Hollins gone over 3.5 receptions?

Mack Hollins has cleared 3.5 receptions in 6 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Mack Hollins's receptions line in Week 4?

Mack Hollins's Week 4 receptions line is 3.5 against BUF. The ProprStats model projects 3 (median).

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · NE vs BUF · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

3.5Week 4 line

3Model median

49%Model over

44ProprScore

Model read: Mack Hollins projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Mack Hollins vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	JAX	6	9	OVER
Wk 2	PIT	2	2	UNDER
Wk 1	SEA	4	5	OVER
25 wk16	BAL	7	9	OVER
25 wk15	BUF	4	8	OVER
25 wk13	NYG	3	4	UNDER
25 wk12	CIN	2	6	UNDER
25 wk11	NYJ	4	5	OVER
25 wk10	TB	6	10	OVER
25 wk9	ATL	2	2	UNDER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

17.7%Share of team throws

5Targets / game

70%Routes run

12.6Avg depth of target

45.6Yards / game

70%Snap share

Mack Hollins's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 44.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Mack Hollins overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.