How often has Mack Hollins gone over 44.5 receiving yards?

Mack Hollins has cleared 44.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Mack Hollins's receiving yards line in Week 4?

Mack Hollins's Week 4 receiving yards line is 44.5 against BUF. The ProprStats model projects 43 (median).

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · NE vs BUF · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 44.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

44.5Week 4 line

43Model median

48%Model over

43ProprScore

Model read: Mack Hollins projects 43 rec yds (median), 1.5 under the 44.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+6.3 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-11.9 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Mack Hollins vs the 44.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	JAX	87	9	OVER
Wk 2	PIT	18	2	UNDER
Wk 1	SEA	51	5	OVER
25 wk16	BAL	69	9	OVER
25 wk15	BUF	41	8	UNDER
25 wk13	NYG	23	4	UNDER
25 wk12	CIN	30	6	UNDER
25 wk11	NYJ	64	5	OVER
25 wk10	TB	106	10	OVER
25 wk9	ATL	9	2	UNDER

Graded against this week's 44.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

17.7%Share of team throws

5Targets / game

70%Routes run

12.6Avg depth of target

45.6Yards / game

70%Snap share

Mack Hollins's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 3.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Mack Hollins overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.