How often has Luther Burden III gone over 4.5 receptions?

Luther Burden III has cleared 4.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Luther Burden III's receptions line in Week 4?

Luther Burden III's Week 4 receptions line is 4.5 against NYJ. The ProprStats model projects 3 (median).

Luther Burden III Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · CHI vs NYJ · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

4 of 10cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

4.5Week 4 line

3Model median

23%Model over

78ProprScore

Model read: Luther Burden III projects 3 catches (median), 1.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Luther Burden III vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	PHI	7	11	OVER
Wk 2	MIN	3	7	UNDER
Wk 1	CAR	5	5	OVER
25 wk18	DET	3	4	UNDER
25 wk17	SF	8	9	OVER
25 wk15	CLE	6	7	OVER
25 wk14	GB	4	6	UNDER
25 wk13	PHI	4	6	UNDER
25 wk12	PIT	3	5	UNDER
25 wk11	MIN	3	5	UNDER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

19.2%Share of team throws

5.8Targets / game

52%Routes run

7.7Avg depth of target

47.7Yards / game

52%Snap share

Luther Burden III's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 46.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Luther Burden III overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.