Kyle Williams Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · NE vs BUF · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

6 of 10cleared 0.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
0.5Week 4 line
1Model median
69%Model over
55ProprScore

Model read: Kyle Williams projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 over the 0.5 line — the model leans over. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Kyle Williams vs the 0.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3JAX13OVER
Wk 2PIT12OVER
Wk 1SEA00UNDER
25 wk18MIA00UNDER
25 wk17NYJ35OVER
25 wk16BAL23OVER
25 wk15BUF00UNDER
25 wk13NYG11OVER
25 wk12CIN11OVER
25 wk11NYJ03UNDER

Graded against this week's 0.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

5.6%Share of team throws
1.6Targets / game
27%Routes run
17.1Avg depth of target
14.8Yards / game
27%Snap share

Kyle Williams's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.