How often has Kyle Pitts gone over 2.5 receptions?

Kyle Pitts has cleared 2.5 receptions in 5 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Kyle Pitts's receptions line in Week 4?

Kyle Pitts's Week 4 receptions line is 2.5 against NO. The ProprStats model projects 2 (median).

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · ATL vs NO · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

2.5Week 4 line

2Model median

44%Model over

65ProprScore

Model read: Kyle Pitts projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Kyle Pitts vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	GB	1	2	UNDER
Wk 2	CAR	1	3	UNDER
Wk 1	PIT	0	1	UNDER
25 wk18	NO	6	9	OVER
25 wk17	LA	2	3	UNDER
25 wk16	ARI	7	9	OVER
25 wk15	TB	11	12	OVER
25 wk14	SEA	6	10	OVER
25 wk13	NYJ	7	8	OVER
25 wk12	NO	2	5	UNDER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

15.5%Share of team throws

4.5Targets / game

71%Routes run

8.7Avg depth of target

30.6Yards / game

71%Snap share

Kyle Pitts's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 28.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Kyle Pitts overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.