Keon Coleman Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · BUF vs NE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

8 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
1Model median
36%Model over
63ProprScore

Model read: Keon Coleman projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: an unresolved injury status. Research signal — not a bet.

Keon Coleman vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3LAC12UNDER
Wk 2DET66OVER
Wk 1HOU11UNDER
25 wk18NYJ24OVER
25 wk14CIN23OVER
25 wk13PIT23OVER
25 wk10MIA38OVER
25 wk9KC22OVER
25 wk8CAR34OVER
25 wk6ATL36OVER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

14.2%Share of team throws
4Targets / game
61%Routes run
12Avg depth of target
33.7Yards / game
61%Snap share

Keon Coleman's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.