Model read: Keon Coleman projects 6 rec yds (median), 6.2 under the 12.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+2.1 yds) and pulled down by his target share vs. last season (-17.5 yds). ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: an unresolved injury status. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | LAC | 37 | 2 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | DET | 63 | 6 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | HOU | 1 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | NYJ | 49 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | CIN | 16 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | PIT | 9 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | MIA | 46 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk9 | KC | 17 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk8 | CAR | 30 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk6 | ATL | 11 | 6 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 12.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.