Kenny Gainwell Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · TB vs GB · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

7 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
2Model median
33%Model over
51ProprScore

Model read: Kenny Gainwell projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Kenny Gainwell vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3MIN25UNDER
Wk 2CLE34OVER
Wk 1CIN11UNDER
25 wk18BAL89OVER
25 wk17CLE34OVER
25 wk16DET57OVER
25 wk15MIA77OVER
25 wk14BAL67OVER
25 wk13BUF23UNDER
25 wk12CHI66OVER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

13.1%Share of team throws
4.2Targets / game
0%Routes run
-0.3Avg depth of target
18Yards / game

Kenny Gainwell's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.