Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · KC vs LV · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

6 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
2Model median
38%Model over
76ProprScore

Model read: Kenneth Walker III projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Kenneth Walker III vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3MIA22UNDER
Wk 2IND610OVER
Wk 1DEN36OVER
25 wk18SF44OVER
25 wk17CAR22UNDER
25 wk16LA33OVER
25 wk15IND11UNDER
25 wk14ATL13UNDER
25 wk13MIN34OVER
25 wk12TEN34OVER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

12.6%Share of team throws
4.1Targets / game
61%Routes run
-0.5Avg depth of target
22Yards / game
61%Snap share

Kenneth Walker III's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.