Model read: Kenneth Walker III projects 14 rec yds (median), 7.0 under the 21.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+7.1 yds) and pulled down by less certain of his role after the move (-8.3 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | MIA | 3 | 2 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | IND | 61 | 10 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | DEN | 18 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | SF | 36 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | CAR | 6 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | LA | 64 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | IND | 2 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | ATL | -1 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | MIN | 18 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | TEN | 30 | 4 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 21.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.