Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · NO vs ATL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

8 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
3.5Week 4 line
3Model median
34%Model over
71ProprScore

Model read: Juwan Johnson projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Juwan Johnson vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3LV88OVER
Wk 2BAL44OVER
Wk 1DET37UNDER
25 wk18ATL35UNDER
25 wk17TEN44OVER
25 wk16NYJ89OVER
25 wk15CAR44OVER
25 wk14TB44OVER
25 wk13MIA59OVER
25 wk12ATL67OVER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

16.7%Share of team throws
6.2Targets / game
71%Routes run
6.5Avg depth of target
55Yards / game
71%Snap share

Juwan Johnson's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.