How often has Josh Palmer gone over 0.5 receptions?

Josh Palmer has cleared 0.5 receptions in 10 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Josh Palmer's receptions line in Week 4?

Josh Palmer's Week 4 receptions line is 0.5 against NE. The ProprStats model projects 1 (median).

Josh Palmer Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · BUF vs NE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 4

10 of 10cleared 0.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

0.5Week 4 line

1Model median

72%Model over

78ProprScore

Model read: Josh Palmer projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 over the 0.5 line — the model leans over. Research signal — not a bet.

Josh Palmer vs the 0.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 2	DET	1	3	OVER
Wk 1	HOU	1	2	OVER
25 wk18	NYJ	1	3	OVER
25 wk17	PHI	1	2	OVER
25 wk16	CLE	1	1	OVER
25 wk15	NE	1	2	OVER
25 wk12	HOU	2	4	OVER
25 wk11	TB	2	5	OVER
25 wk6	ATL	2	2	OVER
25 wk5	NE	2	2	OVER

Graded against this week's 0.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.9%Share of team throws

2.8Targets / game

41%Routes run

15.8Avg depth of target

31.9Yards / game

41%Snap share

Josh Palmer's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Josh Palmer overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.