How often has Josh Palmer gone over 0.5 receiving yards?

Josh Palmer has cleared 0.5 receiving yards in 10 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Josh Palmer's receiving yards line in Week 4?

Josh Palmer's Week 4 receiving yards line is 0.5 against NE. The ProprStats model projects 15 (median).

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · BUF vs NE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 4

10 of 10cleared 0.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

0.5Week 4 line

15Model median

72%Model over

78ProprScore

Model read: Josh Palmer projects 15 rec yds (median), 14.5 over the 0.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+2.0 yds) and pulled down by average target depth and yards after the catch (-4.5 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Josh Palmer vs the 0.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 2	DET	43	3	OVER
Wk 1	HOU	34	2	OVER
25 wk18	NYJ	1	3	OVER
25 wk17	PHI	12	2	OVER
25 wk16	CLE	2	1	OVER
25 wk15	NE	16	2	OVER
25 wk12	HOU	21	4	OVER
25 wk11	TB	17	5	OVER
25 wk6	ATL	60	2	OVER
25 wk5	NE	36	2	OVER

Graded against this week's 0.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.9%Share of team throws

2.8Targets / game

41%Routes run

15.8Avg depth of target

31.9Yards / game

41%Snap share

Josh Palmer's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Josh Palmer overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.