How often has Josh Downs gone over 5.5 receptions?

Josh Downs has cleared 5.5 receptions in 1 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Josh Downs's receptions line in Week 4?

Josh Downs's Week 4 receptions line is 5.5 against WAS. The ProprStats model projects 4 (median).

Josh Downs Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · IND vs WAS · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

1 of 10cleared 5.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

5.5Week 4 line

4Model median

29%Model over

71ProprScore

Model read: Josh Downs projects 4 catches (median), 1.5 under the 5.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Josh Downs vs the 5.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	HOU	5	11	UNDER
Wk 2	KC	7	9	OVER
Wk 1	BAL	2	4	UNDER
25 wk18	HOU	4	4	UNDER
25 wk17	JAX	2	5	UNDER
25 wk16	SF	5	9	UNDER
25 wk15	SEA	3	5	UNDER
25 wk14	JAX	4	5	UNDER
25 wk13	HOU	2	6	UNDER
25 wk12	KC	2	6	UNDER

Graded against this week's 5.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

21.6%Share of team throws

6.8Targets / game

69%Routes run

9.6Avg depth of target

48.7Yards / game

69%Snap share

Josh Downs's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 62.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Josh Downs overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.