Jordan Addison Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · MIN vs MIA · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

2 of 10cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
4.5Week 4 line
3Model median
32%Model over
49ProprScore

Model read: Jordan Addison projects 3 catches (median), 1.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Jordan Addison vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3TB59OVER
Wk 2CHI25UNDER
Wk 1GB02UNDER
25 wk18GB13UNDER
25 wk17DET01UNDER
25 wk16NYG23UNDER
25 wk15DAL22UNDER
25 wk14WAS47UNDER
25 wk13SEA510OVER
25 wk12GB01UNDER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

21.7%Share of team throws
5.5Targets / game
87%Routes run
13.8Avg depth of target
40.3Yards / game
87%Snap share

Jordan Addison's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.